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  1. Vor einem Tag · An updating average of 2020 presidential general election polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency. Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which...

  2. Vor 2 Tagen · Approval polling average. An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

  3. 11. Juni 2024 · 538s 2024 presidential election forecast model showing Democrat Joe Biden’s and Republican Donald Trump’s chances of winning.

  4. 23. Mai 2023 · FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis - hard numbers - to tell compelling stories about elections, politics and American society.

  5. 538, originally rendered as FiveThirtyEight, is an American website that focused on opinion poll analysis, politics, economics, and sports blogging in the United States. Founder Nate Silver left in 2023, taking the rights to his forecasting model with him to his website Silver Bulletin.

  6. 18. Sept. 2023 · Starting today, Sept. 18, 538 content will be published at a new vertical on the ABC News website, www.abcnews.com/538, where we will be focusing on coverage of elections, politics and American ...

  7. 21. Apr. 2023 · Nate Silver founded and was the editor in chief of FiveThirtyEight. He is the author of “The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail — But Some Don’t.”. Apr. 25, 2023.

  8. Vor einem Tag · 538's averages are slightly better for Harris than the ones you'll find from other public aggregators.There are a few reasons for this. The most important is that our average only considers polls ...

  9. 538 uses statistical analysis — hard numbers — to tell compelling stories about elections, politics, economics, and American society.

  10. FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis - hard numbers - to tell compelling stories about elections, politics and American society.

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