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  1. 16. Apr. 2024 · Near-term global financial stability risks have receded. However, there are several salient risks along the last mile. Growing strains in the commercial real estate sector and signs of credit deterioration among corporates could be exacerbated by adverse shocks. Stalling disinflation could surprise investors, leading to a repricing of assets ...

  2. 23. Okt. 2023 · T he possibility of large losses in the $24 trillion U.S. commercial real estate market poses a top risk to financial stability, the Federal Reserve said, noting rising vacancy rates and slowing rent growth. “A correction in office property valuations accompanied by even a mild recession could result in significant losses for a range of ...

  3. 23. Nov. 2023 · As in previous years, our report analyses real estate financing. In the short term, we see risks from the commercial real estate sector in particular. Risks from the financing of residential real estate are still limited, but are something that institutions and supervisors should continue to monitor closely. Chart 7

  4. 9. Mai 2024 · As noted in the box "Survey of Salient Risks to Financial Stability," in recent outreach, contacts were particularly focused on the risk of persistent inflationary pressures leading to a more restrictive than expected monetary policy stance, risks to the financial sector from increased policy uncertainty, and the potential effect of large losses on CRE and residential real estate. Risks ...

  5. 14. Feb. 2024 · Real estate firms remain particularly vulnerable to losses stemming from the downturn in euro area real estate markets. The ongoing downturn is particularly acute in the euro area commercial real estate market, where both activity and prices declined sharply in 2023. On both sides of the Atlantic, the effects of higher interest rates on this sector have been compounded by structurally lower ...

  6. 26. Mai 2021 · The share of total outstanding CRE debt held by banks is 54 percent in the US. drop in demand could be a potential source of stress for banks, especially for those with large CRE exposures, and pose financial stability risks (IMF, 2021).2. Figure 1. Commercial Real Estate Prices and Transaction Volumes during the COVID-19 Crisis.

  7. 26. Mai 2021 · This note analyzes the implications of changes in commercial real estate (CRE) prices for the stability of the US banking sector. Using detailed bank-level and CRE price data for US metropolitan statistical areas, the analysis shows that, following a decline in CRE prices, banks with greater exposures to CRE loans perform worse than their counterparts, experiencing higher non-performing CRE ...