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  1. Ramaswamy on 2024 Polls: We're On Or Ahead Of The Same Trajectory As Trump In 2015 ( realclearpolitics.com) submitted 9 days ago by Rough_Assignment2516 to r/2024elections. Cornel West: Trump pushes us towards a Second Civil War at home while Biden pushes us towards World War III abroad.

  2. 18. Aug. 2021 · In the 2020 election, FiveThirtyEight yet again way overestimates the strength of Joe Biden. RealClearPolitics also did but was slightly more accurate. ----- My Conclusion: 538 takes other peoples polls, changes the data, and then calls their version more accurate. The task is on them (538) to prove why their editorial methods have value in the ...

  3. 21. Jan. 2016 · Scraping data from RCP (RealClearPolitics) RCP provides a wonderful web interface for looking at aggregated poling data. For example, shown here is a lovely chart (via D3.js) which shows you the RCP average polling data for each candidate on the democratic side as a time series where you can sort by a custom time range or various selections ...

  4. 18. Okt. 2020 · Fivethirtyeight weights polls based on past performance and methodology. And they also include polls from over two weeks ago, but their weighting depends on the quality and quantity of recent polling. TL;DR: RCP only averages polls over the last two weeks. Fivethirtyeight uses fancy math to make their best guess based on available polling.

  5. 22. März 2020 · ReallyClearPolitics. A subreddit dedicated to clarifying the American political landscape through analysis and vetted articles, historical context, and intelligent discussion. 1 Members. 2 Online.

  6. 12. Juni 2024 · How trustworthy do you think RealClearPolitics is? Hi! I’m a first time poster, not super attached to Pete or any other candidate. I mostly use RCP to keep up with the polls, as it is an aggregate site so I figure it should iron out the biases between the groups. I do have my doubts, of course, so I just want to ask different subs what they ...

  7. 18. Aug. 2021 · In the 2020 election, the differences were less dramatic and they both overestimated the (other) column, but yet again RealClearPolitics was slightly more accurate. My conclusion is that even if 538's numbers are more correct in 2024, it is because a broken clock is right twice a day. 538's methods are junk, which have produced junk results.

  8. 18. Aug. 2021 · In the 2020 election, the differences between 538 and RCP were less dramatic. They both overestimated the (other) column and underestimated Trump, but yet again RealClearPolitics was slightly more accurate. ----- My Conclusion: 538 takes other peoples polls, changes the data, and then calls their version more accurate. The task is on them (538 ...

  9. Wow RCP sucks ass what’s new. At least Nader got his 5%. In 2004, they had Hawaii going red by over a point LMAO. "Oh well they predicted Bush won and he did, that must mean they're more accurate than everyone who predicted Hillary to win in 2016!" 70 votes, 20 comments. 7.1K subscribers in the thecampaigntrail community. The Campaign Trail ...

  10. " I believe RealClearPolitics may be designed to inflate Trump’s poll numbers and make democrats less comfortable about the election." You're obviously new to the party. RCP has been doing this forever. For at least 2 decades, they've always put the thumb on the scale of the Republican. They cherry pick which polls are included, and if the ...

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