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  1. Vor einem Tag · Download the data. Download. When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. Data for FiveThirtyEight's previous favorability,...

    • Pennsylvania

      The position of the flag indicates whether the organization...

    • Ohio

      The position of the flag indicates whether the organization...

    • Interactives

      FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis - hard numbers -...

    • About Us

      FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis - hard numbers -...

  2. Vor einem Tag · 538s 2024 presidential election forecast model showing Democrat Kamala Harris’s and Republican Donald Trump’s chances of winning.

    • G. Elliott Morris
  3. 23. Mai 2023 · Explore interactive graphics and animations on politics, sports, society and more. See how FiveThirtyEight uses statistics and data to tell compelling stories and make predictions.

  4. 538 uses statistical analysis — hard numbers — to tell compelling stories about elections, politics, economics, and American society.

  5. 3. Nov. 2020 · Biden is favored to win the popular vote and the Electoral College, but Trump could still pull off an upset with a small polling error. See how the race could change with different scenarios and state-by-state projections.

  6. 538, originally rendered as FiveThirtyEight, is an American website that focused on opinion poll analysis, politics, economics, and sports blogging in the United States. [2] Founder Nate Silver left in 2023, taking the rights to his forecasting model with him to his website Silver Bulletin.

  7. FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis - hard numbers - to tell compelling stories about elections, politics and American society.

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