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Vor einem Tag · See the latest polls for the 2024 general election, featuring Biden vs. Trump and other matchups. Find out the state-by-state results, the polling averages, and the methodology for each survey.
- Pennsylvania
The position of the flag indicates whether the organization...
- Ohio
The position of the flag indicates whether the organization...
- National Polls
Favorability polling average. An updating average,...
- How Popular is Joe Biden
An updating calculation of the president's approval rating,...
- Pollster Ratings
538’s pollster ratings are calculated by analyzing the...
- FiveThirtyEight Interactives
The Latest Updates On The 2024 Republican Presidential...
- Pennsylvania
11. Juni 2024 · 538 uses data and simulations to project the likely outcome of the 2024 presidential election between Biden and Trump. See the latest national and swing-state polls, the electoral vote margin, and the chance of a tie or a third-party win.
- G. Elliott Morris
Vor einem Tag · Favorability polling average. An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.
538 uses statistical analysis — hard numbers — to tell compelling stories about elections, politics, economics, and American society.
Vor 4 Tagen · An updating calculation of the president's approval rating, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects. How this works See the latest polls. KEY. ESTIMATE.
Explore data-driven stories and visualizations on politics, sports, culture and more from FiveThirtyEight. Find projects by topic, type, date or search term.
22. Feb. 2024 · A ranking of polling firms based on their historical accuracy and methodological transparency. See how each pollster performs in terms of 538 rating, POLLSCORE and number of polls analyzed.
