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  1. Vor 2 Tagen · Download. When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. Data for FiveThirtyEight's previous favorability, presidential approval and...

  2. 11. Juni 2024 · 538s 2024 presidential election forecast model showing Democrat Joe Biden’s and Republican Donald Trump’s chances of winning.

  3. 538, originally rendered as FiveThirtyEight, is an American website that focused on opinion poll analysis, politics, economics, and sports blogging in the United States. Founder Nate Silver left in 2023, taking the rights to his forecasting model with him to his website Silver Bulletin.

  4. 3. Nov. 2020 · FiveThirtyEight has issued its final presidential forecast. There hasn’t been a lot of change over the past 24 or 48 hours, as most of the late polling either came in close to our previous ...

  5. 8. Juni 2021 · We got 41 percent of our toss-up calls right, along with 77 percent of our “lean” calls, 95 percent of our “likely” calls, and 100 percent (399 of 399) of our “solid” calls. Also ...

  6. FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis - hard numbers - to tell compelling stories about elections, politics and American society.

  7. 9. Feb. 2018 · Our Data. We’re sharing the data and code behind some of our articles and graphics. We hope you’ll use it to check our work and to create stories and visualizations of your own. data set. related...

  8. 538 uses statistical analysis — hard numbers — to tell compelling stories about elections, politics, economics, and American society.

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  10. Vor 5 Tagen · Favorability polling average. An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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