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  1. Vor 4 Tagen · Focusing illusion With David Schkade, Kahneman developed the notion of the focusing illusion to explain in part the mistakes people make when estimating the effects of different scenarios on their future happiness (also known as affective forecasting , which has been studied extensively by Daniel Gilbert ). [40]

  2. 25. Apr. 2024 · 13 February 2024. This is the first preview of J. Doyne Farmer's upcoming book, Making Sense of chaos: A Better Economics for a Better World, set to be published by Allen Lane on 25 April 2024. Is the current mainstream approach to understanding the economy really the best we can do? What causes financial turbulence?

  3. 18. Apr. 2024 · The Illusion of Certainty: Navigating the Unpredictable Waters of Economics. Economists are the logicians of humanity: experts who rationalize a world of complexity and chaos. The discipline revolves around ‘scarcity’: the use of resources, the production of goods and services, the growth of production and welfare over time, and ...

  4. Vor 4 Tagen · Politiker tun immer noch so, als könnten sie den Zuzug steuern. Doch das ist wirklichkeitsfern. Wir sollten andere Prioritäten setzen – zum Wohle aller.

  5. 16. Apr. 2024 · War between Israel, the US and Iran could blow up the Middle East, with huge consequences for energy and commodity prices. The biggest victims of such mayhem would, as usual, be the poorest. We ...

  6. 1. Mai 2024 · Societies are built on illusions. 1 Simple illusions like “it” will last, 2 “it” being conditions of stability, or well-being, or, ironically, health; and complex illusions like the invisible hand (Smith 1776), 3 or progress, or that we, as individuals, organizations, or governments, are in control. 4.

  7. Vor 2 Tagen · One of his studies, conducted by himself and colleagues in 2013, known as the "End of History Illusion," provided evidence showing that individuals across all age groups tend to believe that they have already undergone the majority of their personal growth and change up to the present time, and that they will not experience significant growth or maturation in the future.